Articles on Issue Theme
Emil DINGA
Academia Română
The paper treats the issue of prediction in the economic (social) field, in a theoretical framework that replaces the truth with the reasonability. In this end, some already accepted parameters around the prediction need to be reconfigured: the causality to be replaced with the explanatory protocol, the prediction to be replaced with the predictive protocol, the factual testing to be replaced with the testing protocol etc. The ambition of the paper is to save the Popperian falsifiability without the truth context (as in the natural sciences), especially by introducing the concept of situational framework, that „necessarily” guides, by specific geodesics, the human (both individual and collective) behaviour. So, the situational framework ensures a prediction (more exactly, a predictive protocol) of second order, that reduces the incertitude until the vicinity where the probability is not needed anymore in the economic (social) modelling.
ŒCONOMICA no. 4/2014
Keywords: truth, reasonability, situational framework, geodesics, predictive protocol
JEL: B41, C00, E17
Reasonability and Prediction [Rezonabilitate şi predicţie]
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Octavian-Dragomir JORA
Academia de Studii Economice din Bucureşti
Mara Andreea TUDOR
University of Chicago
Cătălin MURARAŞU
Academia de Studii Economice din Bucureşti
Ramona Iulia DIEACONESCU
Academia de Studii Economice din Bucureşti
Maria GHEORGHE (NIŢU)
Academia de Studii Economice din Bucureşti
Sorin-Nicolae CURCĂ
Academia Română
Revista ŒCONOMICA
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